Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions
Green Bay Packers projected to win thanks to stronger defensive efficiency over Detroit Lions. Model assigns a 88% confidence to this outcome.
Win Probability
Team Profile
GB
DETKey Factors
Game Projections
Derived from each team's last 6-game scoring averages vs opponent defense
GB
28
proj pts
Total O/U
55.7
pts
DET
27.7
proj pts
Scoring Edges
Detroit Lions Offense
35.3 PPG vs Green Bay Packers (allows 20.0)
Green Bay Packers Offense
25.3 PPG vs Detroit Lions (allows 30.7)
Projections use rolling 6-game team averages. Not financial advice.
Analytics Breakdown
Model-derived betting metrics & edge factors
Proj Spread
Lions -10.1
Total O/U
63.7
Upset %
-1070%
Momentum Score
Detroit Lions Edges
Home field advantage
Superior scoring offense (+10.0 PPG)
Better win percentage (67% vs 33%)
Green Bay Packers Edges
Suffocating defense (20.0 pts allowed)
Strong point differential (+5.3)
Our model favors Detroit Lions by 10.1 points — look for value on the home side covering.
Head-to-Head History
No recent matchup data available.
Injury Report
Latest injury designations from ESPN
No significant injuries reported
Team & Player Breakdown
Green Bay Packers
Head Coach
Matt LaFleur
Starting QB
Jordan Love
West Coast passing attack with deep play-action shots and creative route combinations
zone-based coverage scheme that limits explosive plays and forces field goals
Detroit Lions
Head Coach
Dan Campbell
Starting QB
Jared Goff
physical, run-first attack that creates explosive passing opportunities off play-action
aggressive, assignment-sound defense that prioritizes stopping the run
Key Players
Love has emerged as one of the NFC's most dangerous quarterbacks. His arm talent in the deep game is exceptional, and his comfort in LaFleur's system has grown dramatically.
Goff has evolved into one of the NFL's most accurate quarterbacks within Campbell's system. His ability to process quickly and deliver in rhythm makes the Lions' play-action passing game consistently explosive.
Reed's explosiveness in the slot and ability to create yards after the catch make him Love's most dangerous short-to-intermediate option.
St. Brown's ability to consistently create separation in the slot and convert on third downs has made him Goff's most reliable option. He leads the team in contested catch situations.
Related Predictions
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Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions — Frequently Asked Questions
Who is predicted to win the Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions Week 7 game?+
Our AI prediction model picks the Green Bay Packers to win the Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions Week 7 2026 matchup with 88% confidence. The model gives the Detroit Lions a 12% win probability and the Green Bay Packers a 88% win probability.
When and where is the Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions game?+
The Green Bay Packers face the Detroit Lions on Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 4:00 PM UTC, hosted at Ford Field. The game airs on FOX.
What is the confidence level on this NFL Week 7 prediction?+
Our machine-learning model rates this pick at 88% confidence, based on 4+ seasons of team performance data, offensive/defensive splits, recent form, home/road splits, and pace-adjusted efficiency. Higher confidence generally means the model sees a wider gap between the two teams.
What TV network is broadcasting the Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions game?+
The Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions Week 7 game is scheduled to air on FOX. Check your local listings or the NFL Predictions Hub schedule closer to kickoff for the latest broadcast information.
How accurate are NFL Predictions Hub's AI picks?+
Our XGBoost-based prediction model is trained on 4+ seasons of NFL play-by-play, team, and situational data. It tracks a rolling win rate against the moneyline that is published on our model transparency page. Individual picks are probabilistic — even a 75% confidence pick will miss 1 in 4 times over a long enough sample.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 18, 4:00 PM UTC
Network
FOX
Venue
Ford Field