Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings
Green Bay Packers projected to win thanks to stronger defensive efficiency over Minnesota Vikings. Model assigns a 59% confidence to this outcome.
Win Probability
Team Profile
GB
MINKey Factors
Game Projections
Derived from each team's last 6-game scoring averages vs opponent defense
GB
24.3
proj pts
Total O/U
46.3
pts
MIN
22
proj pts
Scoring Edges
Minnesota Vikings Offense
24.0 PPG vs Green Bay Packers (allows 20.0)
Green Bay Packers Offense
25.3 PPG vs Minnesota Vikings (allows 23.3)
Projections use rolling 6-game team averages. Not financial advice.
Analytics Breakdown
Model-derived betting metrics & edge factors
Proj Spread
Vikings -3.3
Total O/U
51.8
Upset %
-3970%
Momentum Score
Minnesota Vikings Edges
Home field advantage
Better win percentage (67% vs 33%)
Familiar game-day environment
Green Bay Packers Edges
Suffocating defense (20.0 pts allowed)
Strong point differential (+5.3)
Our model favors Minnesota Vikings by 3.3 points — look for value on the home side covering.
Head-to-Head History
No recent matchup data available.
Injury Report
Latest injury designations from ESPN
No significant injuries reported
Team & Player Breakdown
Green Bay Packers
Head Coach
Matt LaFleur
Starting QB
Jordan Love
West Coast passing attack with deep play-action shots and creative route combinations
zone-based coverage scheme that limits explosive plays and forces field goals
Minnesota Vikings
Head Coach
Kevin O'Connell
Starting QB
Sam Darnold
creative, motion-heavy attack built around Justin Jefferson's talent
zone-heavy coverage scheme leveraging cornerback talent
Key Players
Love has emerged as one of the NFC's most dangerous quarterbacks. His arm talent in the deep game is exceptional, and his comfort in LaFleur's system has grown dramatically.
Jefferson is a generational talent who creates advantages against any coverage. His combination of route precision, contested-catch ability, and explosiveness after the catch makes him the most dangerous receiver in the NFC North.
Reed's explosiveness in the slot and ability to create yards after the catch make him Love's most dangerous short-to-intermediate option.
Darnold's experience and mobility give Minnesota a functional quarterback in O'Connell's system. When he's decisive and gets the ball to Jefferson early, the Vikings' offense generates consistent production.
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Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings — Frequently Asked Questions
Who is predicted to win the Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings Week 3 game?+
Our AI prediction model picks the Green Bay Packers to win the Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings Week 3 2026 matchup with 59% confidence. The model gives the Minnesota Vikings a 41% win probability and the Green Bay Packers a 59% win probability.
When and where is the Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings game?+
The Green Bay Packers face the Minnesota Vikings on Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 1:00 PM UTC, hosted at U.S. Bank Stadium. The game airs on FOX.
What is the confidence level on this NFL Week 3 prediction?+
Our machine-learning model rates this pick at 59% confidence, based on 4+ seasons of team performance data, offensive/defensive splits, recent form, home/road splits, and pace-adjusted efficiency. Higher confidence generally means the model sees a wider gap between the two teams.
What TV network is broadcasting the Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings game?+
The Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings Week 3 game is scheduled to air on FOX. Check your local listings or the NFL Predictions Hub schedule closer to kickoff for the latest broadcast information.
How accurate are NFL Predictions Hub's AI picks?+
Our XGBoost-based prediction model is trained on 4+ seasons of NFL play-by-play, team, and situational data. It tracks a rolling win rate against the moneyline that is published on our model transparency page. Individual picks are probabilistic — even a 75% confidence pick will miss 1 in 4 times over a long enough sample.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sun, Sep 20, 1:00 PM UTC
Network
FOX
Venue
U.S. Bank Stadium