Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers
Green Bay Packers projected to win thanks to superior scoring offense over Chicago Bears. Model assigns a 91% confidence to this outcome.
Win Probability
Team Profile
CHI
GBKey Factors
Game Projections
Derived from each team's last 6-game scoring averages vs opponent defense
CHI
17.4
proj pts
Total O/U
42.8
pts
GB
25.4
proj pts
Scoring Edges
Green Bay Packers Offense
25.3 PPG vs Chicago Bears (allows 25.5)
Chicago Bears Offense
14.8 PPG vs Green Bay Packers (allows 20.0)
Projections use rolling 6-game team averages. Not financial advice.
Analytics Breakdown
Model-derived betting metrics & edge factors
Proj Spread
Packers -8.2
Total O/U
42.2
Upset %
-8960%
Momentum Score
Green Bay Packers Edges
Home field advantage
Superior scoring offense (+10.5 PPG)
Stronger pass defense (allows 20.0 vs 25.5)
Better win percentage (33% vs 17%)
Positive point differential (+5.3)
Chicago Bears Edges
Motivated road performance
Proven consistency in tough environments
Our model favors Green Bay Packers by 8.2 points — look for value on the home side covering.
Head-to-Head History
No recent matchup data available.
Injury Report
Latest injury designations from ESPN
No significant injuries reported
Team & Player Breakdown
Chicago Bears
Head Coach
Ben Johnson
Starting QB
Caleb Williams
innovative, Williams-tailored system built around his arm talent and mobility
developing defensive scheme focused on creating turnovers
Green Bay Packers
Head Coach
Matt LaFleur
Starting QB
Jordan Love
West Coast passing attack with deep play-action shots and creative route combinations
zone-based coverage scheme that limits explosive plays and forces field goals
Key Players
Williams' arm talent and mobility make him one of the most exciting quarterbacks in the NFL. His ability to make difficult throws in tight windows and extend plays with his legs gives Chicago an explosive ceiling.
Love has emerged as one of the NFC's most dangerous quarterbacks. His arm talent in the deep game is exceptional, and his comfort in LaFleur's system has grown dramatically.
Moore's route precision and ability to create separation against press coverage give Williams a reliable target at every level of the field.
Reed's explosiveness in the slot and ability to create yards after the catch make him Love's most dangerous short-to-intermediate option.
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Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers — Frequently Asked Questions
Who is predicted to win the Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers Week 9 game?+
Our AI prediction model picks the Green Bay Packers to win the Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers Week 9 2026 matchup with 91% confidence. The model gives the Green Bay Packers a 91% win probability and the Chicago Bears a 9% win probability.
When and where is the Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers game?+
The Chicago Bears face the Green Bay Packers on Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 4:00 PM UTC, hosted at Lambeau Field. The game airs on FOX.
What is the confidence level on this NFL Week 9 prediction?+
Our machine-learning model rates this pick at 91% confidence, based on 4+ seasons of team performance data, offensive/defensive splits, recent form, home/road splits, and pace-adjusted efficiency. Higher confidence generally means the model sees a wider gap between the two teams.
What TV network is broadcasting the Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers game?+
The Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers Week 9 game is scheduled to air on FOX. Check your local listings or the NFL Predictions Hub schedule closer to kickoff for the latest broadcast information.
How accurate are NFL Predictions Hub's AI picks?+
Our XGBoost-based prediction model is trained on 4+ seasons of NFL play-by-play, team, and situational data. It tracks a rolling win rate against the moneyline that is published on our model transparency page. Individual picks are probabilistic — even a 75% confidence pick will miss 1 in 4 times over a long enough sample.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sun, Nov 1, 4:00 PM UTC
Network
FOX
Venue
Lambeau Field