Detroit Lions @ Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota Vikings projected to win thanks to stronger defensive efficiency over Detroit Lions. Model assigns a 88% confidence to this outcome.
Win Probability
Team Profile
DET
MINKey Factors
Game Projections
Derived from each team's last 6-game scoring averages vs opponent defense
DET
29.3
proj pts
Total O/U
56.6
pts
MIN
27.3
proj pts
Scoring Edges
Minnesota Vikings Offense
24.0 PPG vs Detroit Lions (allows 30.7)
Detroit Lions Offense
35.3 PPG vs Minnesota Vikings (allows 23.3)
Projections use rolling 6-game team averages. Not financial advice.
Analytics Breakdown
Model-derived betting metrics & edge factors
Proj Spread
Lions -6.8
Total O/U
62.3
Upset %
-8680%
Momentum Score
Minnesota Vikings Edges
Home field advantage
Stronger pass defense (allows 23.3 vs 30.7)
Familiar game-day environment
Detroit Lions Edges
Dynamic scoring attack (+11.3 PPG edge)
Strong point differential (+4.7)
Our model favors Detroit Lions by 6.8 points against the spread despite playing on the road.
Head-to-Head History
No recent matchup data available.
Injury Report
Latest injury designations from ESPN
No significant injuries reported
Team & Player Breakdown
Detroit Lions
Head Coach
Dan Campbell
Starting QB
Jared Goff
physical, run-first attack that creates explosive passing opportunities off play-action
aggressive, assignment-sound defense that prioritizes stopping the run
Minnesota Vikings
Head Coach
Kevin O'Connell
Starting QB
Sam Darnold
creative, motion-heavy attack built around Justin Jefferson's talent
zone-heavy coverage scheme leveraging cornerback talent
Key Players
Goff has evolved into one of the NFL's most accurate quarterbacks within Campbell's system. His ability to process quickly and deliver in rhythm makes the Lions' play-action passing game consistently explosive.
Jefferson is a generational talent who creates advantages against any coverage. His combination of route precision, contested-catch ability, and explosiveness after the catch makes him the most dangerous receiver in the NFC North.
St. Brown's ability to consistently create separation in the slot and convert on third downs has made him Goff's most reliable option. He leads the team in contested catch situations.
Darnold's experience and mobility give Minnesota a functional quarterback in O'Connell's system. When he's decisive and gets the ball to Jefferson early, the Vikings' offense generates consistent production.
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Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings — Frequently Asked Questions
Who is predicted to win the Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings Week 9 game?+
Our AI prediction model picks the Minnesota Vikings to win the Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings Week 9 2026 matchup with 88% confidence. The model gives the Minnesota Vikings a 88% win probability and the Detroit Lions a 12% win probability.
When and where is the Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings game?+
The Detroit Lions face the Minnesota Vikings on Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 4:00 PM UTC, hosted at U.S. Bank Stadium. The game airs on FOX.
What is the confidence level on this NFL Week 9 prediction?+
Our machine-learning model rates this pick at 88% confidence, based on 4+ seasons of team performance data, offensive/defensive splits, recent form, home/road splits, and pace-adjusted efficiency. Higher confidence generally means the model sees a wider gap between the two teams.
What TV network is broadcasting the Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings game?+
The Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings Week 9 game is scheduled to air on FOX. Check your local listings or the NFL Predictions Hub schedule closer to kickoff for the latest broadcast information.
How accurate are NFL Predictions Hub's AI picks?+
Our XGBoost-based prediction model is trained on 4+ seasons of NFL play-by-play, team, and situational data. It tracks a rolling win rate against the moneyline that is published on our model transparency page. Individual picks are probabilistic — even a 75% confidence pick will miss 1 in 4 times over a long enough sample.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sun, Nov 1, 4:00 PM UTC
Network
FOX
Venue
U.S. Bank Stadium