Arizona Cardinals @ Chicago Bears
Chicago Bears projected to win thanks to positive point differential over Arizona Cardinals. Model assigns a 65% confidence to this outcome.
Win Probability
Team Profile
ARI
CHIKey Factors
Game Projections
Derived from each team's last 6-game scoring averages vs opponent defense
ARI
25.8
proj pts
Total O/U
45.1
pts
CHI
19.3
proj pts
Scoring Edges
Chicago Bears Offense
14.8 PPG vs Arizona Cardinals (allows 23.8)
Arizona Cardinals Offense
26.0 PPG vs Chicago Bears (allows 25.5)
Projections use rolling 6-game team averages. Not financial advice.
Analytics Breakdown
Model-derived betting metrics & edge factors
Proj Spread
Cardinals -8.6
Total O/U
42.9
Upset %
-6370%
Momentum Score
Chicago Bears Edges
Home field advantage
Familiar game-day environment
Arizona Cardinals Edges
Road warrior mentality (33% win rate)
Dynamic scoring attack (+11.2 PPG edge)
Our model favors Arizona Cardinals by 8.6 points against the spread despite playing on the road.
Head-to-Head History
No recent matchup data available.
Injury Report
Latest injury designations from ESPN
No significant injuries reported
Team & Player Breakdown
Arizona Cardinals
Head Coach
Jonathan Gannon
Starting QB
Kyler Murray
fast-paced, spread-option attack built around Murray's dual-threat ability
zone-heavy coverage scheme designed to limit explosive plays
Chicago Bears
Head Coach
Ben Johnson
Starting QB
Caleb Williams
innovative, Williams-tailored system built around his arm talent and mobility
developing defensive scheme focused on creating turnovers
Key Players
Murray's speed and agility make him one of the most dangerous quarterbacks in space. When healthy, his ability to extend plays and create out of structure gives Arizona an explosive element.
Williams' arm talent and mobility make him one of the most exciting quarterbacks in the NFL. His ability to make difficult throws in tight windows and extend plays with his legs gives Chicago an explosive ceiling.
Harrison Jr. brings elite physical tools to Arizona's passing game. His combination of size, speed, and polished route running makes him a legitimate star.
Moore's route precision and ability to create separation against press coverage give Williams a reliable target at every level of the field.
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Arizona Cardinals vs Chicago Bears — Frequently Asked Questions
Who is predicted to win the Arizona Cardinals vs Chicago Bears Week 3 game?+
Our AI prediction model picks the Chicago Bears to win the Arizona Cardinals vs Chicago Bears Week 3 2026 matchup with 65% confidence. The model gives the Chicago Bears a 65% win probability and the Arizona Cardinals a 35% win probability.
When and where is the Arizona Cardinals vs Chicago Bears game?+
The Arizona Cardinals face the Chicago Bears on Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 4:00 PM UTC, hosted at Soldier Field. The game airs on FOX.
What is the confidence level on this NFL Week 3 prediction?+
Our machine-learning model rates this pick at 65% confidence, based on 4+ seasons of team performance data, offensive/defensive splits, recent form, home/road splits, and pace-adjusted efficiency. Higher confidence generally means the model sees a wider gap between the two teams.
What TV network is broadcasting the Arizona Cardinals at Chicago Bears game?+
The Arizona Cardinals at Chicago Bears Week 3 game is scheduled to air on FOX. Check your local listings or the NFL Predictions Hub schedule closer to kickoff for the latest broadcast information.
How accurate are NFL Predictions Hub's AI picks?+
Our XGBoost-based prediction model is trained on 4+ seasons of NFL play-by-play, team, and situational data. It tracks a rolling win rate against the moneyline that is published on our model transparency page. Individual picks are probabilistic — even a 75% confidence pick will miss 1 in 4 times over a long enough sample.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sun, Sep 20, 4:00 PM UTC
Network
FOX
Venue
Soldier Field