Minnesota Vikings @ Chicago Bears
Chicago Bears projected to win thanks to positive point differential over Minnesota Vikings. Model assigns a 55% confidence to this outcome.
Win Probability
Team Profile
MIN
CHIKey Factors
Game Projections
Derived from each team's last 6-game scoring averages vs opponent defense
MIN
24.8
proj pts
Total O/U
43.9
pts
CHI
19.1
proj pts
Scoring Edges
Chicago Bears Offense
14.8 PPG vs Minnesota Vikings (allows 23.3)
Minnesota Vikings Offense
24.0 PPG vs Chicago Bears (allows 25.5)
Projections use rolling 6-game team averages. Not financial advice.
Analytics Breakdown
Model-derived betting metrics & edge factors
Proj Spread
Vikings -11.5
Total O/U
40.8
Upset %
-5380%
Momentum Score
Chicago Bears Edges
Home field advantage
Familiar game-day environment
Minnesota Vikings Edges
Road warrior mentality (67% win rate)
Dynamic scoring attack (+9.2 PPG edge)
Suffocating defense (23.3 pts allowed)
Our model favors Minnesota Vikings by 11.5 points against the spread despite playing on the road.
Head-to-Head History
No recent matchup data available.
Injury Report
Latest injury designations from ESPN
No significant injuries reported
Team & Player Breakdown
Minnesota Vikings
Head Coach
Kevin O'Connell
Starting QB
Sam Darnold
creative, motion-heavy attack built around Justin Jefferson's talent
zone-heavy coverage scheme leveraging cornerback talent
Chicago Bears
Head Coach
Ben Johnson
Starting QB
Caleb Williams
innovative, Williams-tailored system built around his arm talent and mobility
developing defensive scheme focused on creating turnovers
Key Players
Jefferson is a generational talent who creates advantages against any coverage. His combination of route precision, contested-catch ability, and explosiveness after the catch makes him the most dangerous receiver in the NFC North.
Williams' arm talent and mobility make him one of the most exciting quarterbacks in the NFL. His ability to make difficult throws in tight windows and extend plays with his legs gives Chicago an explosive ceiling.
Darnold's experience and mobility give Minnesota a functional quarterback in O'Connell's system. When he's decisive and gets the ball to Jefferson early, the Vikings' offense generates consistent production.
Moore's route precision and ability to create separation against press coverage give Williams a reliable target at every level of the field.
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Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears — Frequently Asked Questions
Who is predicted to win the Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears Week 17 game?+
Our AI prediction model picks the Chicago Bears to win the Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears Week 17 2026 matchup with 55% confidence. The model gives the Chicago Bears a 55% win probability and the Minnesota Vikings a 45% win probability.
When and where is the Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears game?+
The Minnesota Vikings face the Chicago Bears on Sunday, December 27, 2026 at 4:00 PM UTC, hosted at Soldier Field. The game airs on FOX.
What is the confidence level on this NFL Week 17 prediction?+
Our machine-learning model rates this pick at 55% confidence, based on 4+ seasons of team performance data, offensive/defensive splits, recent form, home/road splits, and pace-adjusted efficiency. Higher confidence generally means the model sees a wider gap between the two teams.
What TV network is broadcasting the Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears game?+
The Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears Week 17 game is scheduled to air on FOX. Check your local listings or the NFL Predictions Hub schedule closer to kickoff for the latest broadcast information.
How accurate are NFL Predictions Hub's AI picks?+
Our XGBoost-based prediction model is trained on 4+ seasons of NFL play-by-play, team, and situational data. It tracks a rolling win rate against the moneyline that is published on our model transparency page. Individual picks are probabilistic — even a 75% confidence pick will miss 1 in 4 times over a long enough sample.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sun, Dec 27, 4:00 PM UTC
Network
FOX
Venue
Soldier Field