Cincinnati Bengals @ Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota Vikings projected to win thanks to positive point differential over Cincinnati Bengals. Model assigns a 58% confidence to this outcome.
Win Probability
Team Profile
Key Factors
Game Projections
Derived from each team's last 6-game scoring averages vs opponent defense
CIN
26.3
proj pts
Total O/U
49.8
pts
MIN
23.5
proj pts
Scoring Edges
Minnesota Vikings Offense
24.0 PPG vs Cincinnati Bengals (allows 23.0)
Cincinnati Bengals Offense
29.2 PPG vs Minnesota Vikings (allows 23.3)
Projections use rolling 6-game team averages. Not financial advice.
Analytics Breakdown
Model-derived betting metrics & edge factors
Proj Spread
Bengals -5
Total O/U
55.8
Upset %
-5660%
Momentum Score
Minnesota Vikings Edges
Home field advantage
Familiar game-day environment
Cincinnati Bengals Edges
Road warrior mentality (83% win rate)
Dynamic scoring attack (+5.2 PPG edge)
Strong point differential (+6.2)
Our model favors Cincinnati Bengals by 5 points against the spread despite playing on the road.
Head-to-Head History
No recent matchup data available.
Injury Report
Latest injury designations from ESPN
No significant injuries reported
Team & Player Breakdown
Cincinnati Bengals
Head Coach
Zac Taylor
Starting QB
Joe Burrow
vertical, precision passing attack built around Burrow's footwork and Ja'Marr Chase's explosiveness
multiple-coverage scheme that protects against the deep ball and limits explosive plays
Minnesota Vikings
Head Coach
Kevin O'Connell
Starting QB
Sam Darnold
creative, motion-heavy attack built around Justin Jefferson's talent
zone-heavy coverage scheme leveraging cornerback talent
Key Players
Burrow is the most technically refined quarterback in the AFC. His footwork, pocket navigation, and touch on downfield throws make him extraordinarily dangerous when given time to operate.
Jefferson is a generational talent who creates advantages against any coverage. His combination of route precision, contested-catch ability, and explosiveness after the catch makes him the most dangerous receiver in the NFC North.
Chase's combination of speed, route precision, and ball-tracking ability makes him the most dangerous receiver in the AFC. His connection with Burrow is one of the best in professional football.
Darnold's experience and mobility give Minnesota a functional quarterback in O'Connell's system. When he's decisive and gets the ball to Jefferson early, the Vikings' offense generates consistent production.
Related Predictions
All picksCincinnati Bengals vs Minnesota Vikings — Frequently Asked Questions
Who is predicted to win the Cincinnati Bengals vs Minnesota Vikings Week 12 game?+
Our AI prediction model picks the Minnesota Vikings to win the Cincinnati Bengals vs Minnesota Vikings Week 12 2026 matchup with 58% confidence. The model gives the Minnesota Vikings a 58% win probability and the Cincinnati Bengals a 42% win probability.
When and where is the Cincinnati Bengals vs Minnesota Vikings game?+
The Cincinnati Bengals face the Minnesota Vikings on Wednesday, November 25, 2026 at 8:00 PM UTC, hosted at U.S. Bank Stadium. The game airs on NBC.
What is the confidence level on this NFL Week 12 prediction?+
Our machine-learning model rates this pick at 58% confidence, based on 4+ seasons of team performance data, offensive/defensive splits, recent form, home/road splits, and pace-adjusted efficiency. Higher confidence generally means the model sees a wider gap between the two teams.
What TV network is broadcasting the Cincinnati Bengals at Minnesota Vikings game?+
The Cincinnati Bengals at Minnesota Vikings Week 12 game is scheduled to air on NBC. Check your local listings or the NFL Predictions Hub schedule closer to kickoff for the latest broadcast information.
How accurate are NFL Predictions Hub's AI picks?+
Our XGBoost-based prediction model is trained on 4+ seasons of NFL play-by-play, team, and situational data. It tracks a rolling win rate against the moneyline that is published on our model transparency page. Individual picks are probabilistic — even a 75% confidence pick will miss 1 in 4 times over a long enough sample.
Game Information
Kickoff
Wed, Nov 25, 8:00 PM UTC
Network
NBC
Venue
U.S. Bank Stadium