Dallas Cowboys @ Chicago Bears
Dallas Cowboys projected to win thanks to superior scoring offense over Chicago Bears. Model assigns a 65% confidence to this outcome.
Win Probability
Team Profile
DAL
CHIKey Factors
Game Projections
Derived from each team's last 6-game scoring averages vs opponent defense
DAL
23.5
proj pts
Total O/U
43.3
pts
CHI
19.8
proj pts
Scoring Edges
Chicago Bears Offense
14.8 PPG vs Dallas Cowboys (allows 24.8)
Dallas Cowboys Offense
21.5 PPG vs Chicago Bears (allows 25.5)
Projections use rolling 6-game team averages. Not financial advice.
Analytics Breakdown
Model-derived betting metrics & edge factors
Proj Spread
Cowboys -8
Total O/U
38.1
Upset %
-3440%
Momentum Score
Chicago Bears Edges
Home field advantage
Familiar game-day environment
Dallas Cowboys Edges
Road warrior mentality (50% win rate)
Dynamic scoring attack (+6.7 PPG edge)
Our model favors Dallas Cowboys by 8 points against the spread despite playing on the road.
Head-to-Head History
No recent matchup data available.
Injury Report
Latest injury designations from ESPN
No significant injuries reported
Team & Player Breakdown
Dallas Cowboys
Head Coach
Mike McCarthy
Starting QB
Dak Prescott
balanced, spread-formation attack that leverages Prescott's arm and CeeDee Lamb's talent
aggressive, Micah Parsons-anchored defense that creates havoc in opposing backfields
Chicago Bears
Head Coach
Ben Johnson
Starting QB
Caleb Williams
innovative, Williams-tailored system built around his arm talent and mobility
developing defensive scheme focused on creating turnovers
Key Players
Prescott's arm talent and ability to operate in a spread formation make him one of the NFC's most productive passers. He's at his best when the Cowboys can establish early success and build rhythm.
Williams' arm talent and mobility make him one of the most exciting quarterbacks in the NFL. His ability to make difficult throws in tight windows and extend plays with his legs gives Chicago an explosive ceiling.
Lamb is one of the best receivers in football. His combination of route running, yards after catch, and contested-catch ability makes him nearly impossible to match up against with a single cornerback.
Moore's route precision and ability to create separation against press coverage give Williams a reliable target at every level of the field.
Related Predictions
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Dallas Cowboys vs Chicago Bears — Frequently Asked Questions
Who is predicted to win the Dallas Cowboys vs Chicago Bears Week 15 game?+
Our AI prediction model picks the Dallas Cowboys to win the Dallas Cowboys vs Chicago Bears Week 15 2026 matchup with 65% confidence. The model gives the Chicago Bears a 35% win probability and the Dallas Cowboys a 65% win probability.
When and where is the Dallas Cowboys vs Chicago Bears game?+
The Dallas Cowboys face the Chicago Bears on Sunday, December 13, 2026 at 4:00 PM UTC, hosted at Soldier Field. The game airs on FOX.
What is the confidence level on this NFL Week 15 prediction?+
Our machine-learning model rates this pick at 65% confidence, based on 4+ seasons of team performance data, offensive/defensive splits, recent form, home/road splits, and pace-adjusted efficiency. Higher confidence generally means the model sees a wider gap between the two teams.
What TV network is broadcasting the Dallas Cowboys at Chicago Bears game?+
The Dallas Cowboys at Chicago Bears Week 15 game is scheduled to air on FOX. Check your local listings or the NFL Predictions Hub schedule closer to kickoff for the latest broadcast information.
How accurate are NFL Predictions Hub's AI picks?+
Our XGBoost-based prediction model is trained on 4+ seasons of NFL play-by-play, team, and situational data. It tracks a rolling win rate against the moneyline that is published on our model transparency page. Individual picks are probabilistic — even a 75% confidence pick will miss 1 in 4 times over a long enough sample.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sun, Dec 13, 4:00 PM UTC
Network
FOX
Venue
Soldier Field