Green Bay Packers @ Miami Dolphins
Green Bay Packers projected to win thanks to superior scoring offense over Miami Dolphins. Model assigns a 68% confidence to this outcome.
Win Probability
Team Profile
GB
MIAKey Factors
Game Projections
Derived from each team's last 6-game scoring averages vs opponent defense
GB
23.3
proj pts
Total O/U
44.1
pts
MIA
20.8
proj pts
Scoring Edges
Miami Dolphins Offense
21.7 PPG vs Green Bay Packers (allows 20.0)
Green Bay Packers Offense
25.3 PPG vs Miami Dolphins (allows 21.3)
Projections use rolling 6-game team averages. Not financial advice.
Analytics Breakdown
Model-derived betting metrics & edge factors
Proj Spread
Packers -0.2
Total O/U
49.4
Upset %
-3060%
Momentum Score
Miami Dolphins Edges
Home field advantage
Better win percentage (50% vs 33%)
Familiar game-day environment
Green Bay Packers Edges
Dynamic scoring attack (+3.7 PPG edge)
Strong point differential (+5.3)
This matchup projects as a near pick'em — expect a tight game decided in the fourth quarter.
Head-to-Head History
No recent matchup data available.
Injury Report
Latest injury designations from ESPN
No significant injuries reported
Team & Player Breakdown
Green Bay Packers
Head Coach
Matt LaFleur
Starting QB
Jordan Love
West Coast passing attack with deep play-action shots and creative route combinations
zone-based coverage scheme that limits explosive plays and forces field goals
Miami Dolphins
Head Coach
Mike McDaniel
Starting QB
Tua Tagovailoa
speed-based, precision passing attack that leverages the NFL's deepest wide receiver corps
aggressive, pressure-first defense that generates turnovers
Key Players
Love has emerged as one of the NFC's most dangerous quarterbacks. His arm talent in the deep game is exceptional, and his comfort in LaFleur's system has grown dramatically.
When healthy, Tua is one of the AFC's most accurate passers. His ability to deliver on time and in rhythm makes Miami's speed-based offense extraordinarily difficult to defend.
Reed's explosiveness in the slot and ability to create yards after the catch make him Love's most dangerous short-to-intermediate option.
Hill remains the fastest receiver in professional football. His ability to threaten the defense vertically on every snap forces safeties to play deep, opening space for other receivers.
Related Predictions
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Green Bay Packers vs Miami Dolphins — Frequently Asked Questions
Who is predicted to win the Green Bay Packers vs Miami Dolphins Week 12 game?+
Our AI prediction model picks the Green Bay Packers to win the Green Bay Packers vs Miami Dolphins Week 12 2026 matchup with 68% confidence. The model gives the Miami Dolphins a 32% win probability and the Green Bay Packers a 68% win probability.
When and where is the Green Bay Packers vs Miami Dolphins game?+
The Green Bay Packers face the Miami Dolphins on Sunday, November 22, 2026 at 8:00 PM UTC, hosted at Hard Rock Stadium. The game airs on NBC.
What is the confidence level on this NFL Week 12 prediction?+
Our machine-learning model rates this pick at 68% confidence, based on 4+ seasons of team performance data, offensive/defensive splits, recent form, home/road splits, and pace-adjusted efficiency. Higher confidence generally means the model sees a wider gap between the two teams.
What TV network is broadcasting the Green Bay Packers at Miami Dolphins game?+
The Green Bay Packers at Miami Dolphins Week 12 game is scheduled to air on NBC. Check your local listings or the NFL Predictions Hub schedule closer to kickoff for the latest broadcast information.
How accurate are NFL Predictions Hub's AI picks?+
Our XGBoost-based prediction model is trained on 4+ seasons of NFL play-by-play, team, and situational data. It tracks a rolling win rate against the moneyline that is published on our model transparency page. Individual picks are probabilistic — even a 75% confidence pick will miss 1 in 4 times over a long enough sample.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sun, Nov 22, 8:00 PM UTC
Network
NBC
Venue
Hard Rock Stadium