Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets
Miami Dolphins projected to win thanks to stronger defensive efficiency over New York Jets. Model assigns a 55% confidence to this outcome.
Win Probability
Team Profile
MIA
NYJKey Factors
Game Projections
Derived from each team's last 6-game scoring averages vs opponent defense
MIA
24.3
proj pts
Total O/U
46.1
pts
NYJ
21.8
proj pts
Scoring Edges
New York Jets Offense
22.3 PPG vs Miami Dolphins (allows 21.3)
Miami Dolphins Offense
21.7 PPG vs New York Jets (allows 27.0)
Projections use rolling 6-game team averages. Not financial advice.
Analytics Breakdown
Model-derived betting metrics & edge factors
Proj Spread
Dolphins -1.6
Total O/U
46.2
Upset %
-4440%
Momentum Score
New York Jets Edges
Home field advantage
Familiar game-day environment
Miami Dolphins Edges
Road warrior mentality (50% win rate)
Suffocating defense (21.3 pts allowed)
This matchup projects as a near pick'em — expect a tight game decided in the fourth quarter.
Head-to-Head History
No recent matchup data available.
Injury Report
Latest injury designations from ESPN
No significant injuries reported
Team & Player Breakdown
Miami Dolphins
Head Coach
Mike McDaniel
Starting QB
Tua Tagovailoa
speed-based, precision passing attack that leverages the NFL's deepest wide receiver corps
aggressive, pressure-first defense that generates turnovers
New York Jets
Head Coach
Robert Saleh
Starting QB
Aaron Rodgers
experience-driven, play-action attack built around Rodgers' football IQ and downfield precision
physical, man-coverage defense anchored by elite cornerback play
Key Players
When healthy, Tua is one of the AFC's most accurate passers. His ability to deliver on time and in rhythm makes Miami's speed-based offense extraordinarily difficult to defend.
Rodgers' football IQ remains elite. His ability to process pre-snap information and manipulate defenses with eyes and pump fakes is unmatched.
Hill remains the fastest receiver in professional football. His ability to threaten the defense vertically on every snap forces safeties to play deep, opening space for other receivers.
Wilson is one of the most technically refined route runners in the NFL. His ability to create separation against press coverage and make contested catches has made him the Jets' most dangerous offensive weapon.
Related Predictions
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Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets — Frequently Asked Questions
Who is predicted to win the Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets Week 9 game?+
Our AI prediction model picks the Miami Dolphins to win the Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets Week 9 2026 matchup with 55% confidence. The model gives the New York Jets a 45% win probability and the Miami Dolphins a 55% win probability.
When and where is the Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets game?+
The Miami Dolphins face the New York Jets on Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 1:00 PM UTC, hosted at MetLife Stadium. The game airs on CBS.
What is the confidence level on this NFL Week 9 prediction?+
Our machine-learning model rates this pick at 55% confidence, based on 4+ seasons of team performance data, offensive/defensive splits, recent form, home/road splits, and pace-adjusted efficiency. Higher confidence generally means the model sees a wider gap between the two teams.
What TV network is broadcasting the Miami Dolphins at New York Jets game?+
The Miami Dolphins at New York Jets Week 9 game is scheduled to air on CBS. Check your local listings or the NFL Predictions Hub schedule closer to kickoff for the latest broadcast information.
How accurate are NFL Predictions Hub's AI picks?+
Our XGBoost-based prediction model is trained on 4+ seasons of NFL play-by-play, team, and situational data. It tracks a rolling win rate against the moneyline that is published on our model transparency page. Individual picks are probabilistic — even a 75% confidence pick will miss 1 in 4 times over a long enough sample.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM UTC
Network
CBS
Venue
MetLife Stadium