Baltimore Ravens @ Miami Dolphins
Baltimore Ravens projected to win thanks to superior scoring offense over Miami Dolphins. Model assigns a 51% confidence to this outcome.
Win Probability
Team Profile
BAL
MIAKey Factors
Game Projections
Derived from each team's last 6-game scoring averages vs opponent defense
BAL
26.3
proj pts
Total O/U
44.1
pts
MIA
17.8
proj pts
Scoring Edges
Miami Dolphins Offense
21.7 PPG vs Baltimore Ravens (allows 14.0)
Baltimore Ravens Offense
31.3 PPG vs Miami Dolphins (allows 21.3)
Projections use rolling 6-game team averages. Not financial advice.
Analytics Breakdown
Model-derived betting metrics & edge factors
Proj Spread
Ravens -9.8
Total O/U
55.7
Upset %
-4810%
Momentum Score
Miami Dolphins Edges
Home field advantage
Familiar game-day environment
Baltimore Ravens Edges
Road warrior mentality (83% win rate)
Dynamic scoring attack (+9.7 PPG edge)
Suffocating defense (14.0 pts allowed)
Strong point differential (+17.3)
Our model favors Baltimore Ravens by 9.8 points against the spread despite playing on the road.
Head-to-Head History
No recent matchup data available.
Injury Report
Latest injury designations from ESPN
No significant injuries reported
Team & Player Breakdown
Baltimore Ravens
Head Coach
John Harbaugh
Starting QB
Lamar Jackson
RPO-heavy run-pass option attack built around Jackson's dual-threat ability
aggressive, press-coverage defense with elite safety play
Miami Dolphins
Head Coach
Mike McDaniel
Starting QB
Tua Tagovailoa
speed-based, precision passing attack that leverages the NFL's deepest wide receiver corps
aggressive, pressure-first defense that generates turnovers
Key Players
A two-time MVP whose rushing ability makes every Ravens drive a potential explosive play. Jackson's combination of arm talent and running ability forces defenses to account for him on every snap, opening the field for his receivers.
When healthy, Tua is one of the AFC's most accurate passers. His ability to deliver on time and in rhythm makes Miami's speed-based offense extraordinarily difficult to defend.
Flowers' speed and explosiveness after the catch complement Jackson's style perfectly. He creates mismatches in space and has become one of the AFC's most dangerous slot receivers when healthy.
Hill remains the fastest receiver in professional football. His ability to threaten the defense vertically on every snap forces safeties to play deep, opening space for other receivers.
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Baltimore Ravens vs Miami Dolphins — Frequently Asked Questions
Who is predicted to win the Baltimore Ravens vs Miami Dolphins Week 17 game?+
Our AI prediction model picks the Baltimore Ravens to win the Baltimore Ravens vs Miami Dolphins Week 17 2026 matchup with 51% confidence. The model gives the Miami Dolphins a 49% win probability and the Baltimore Ravens a 51% win probability.
When and where is the Baltimore Ravens vs Miami Dolphins game?+
The Baltimore Ravens face the Miami Dolphins on Sunday, December 27, 2026 at 1:00 PM UTC, hosted at Hard Rock Stadium. The game airs on CBS.
What is the confidence level on this NFL Week 17 prediction?+
Our machine-learning model rates this pick at 51% confidence, based on 4+ seasons of team performance data, offensive/defensive splits, recent form, home/road splits, and pace-adjusted efficiency. Higher confidence generally means the model sees a wider gap between the two teams.
What TV network is broadcasting the Baltimore Ravens at Miami Dolphins game?+
The Baltimore Ravens at Miami Dolphins Week 17 game is scheduled to air on CBS. Check your local listings or the NFL Predictions Hub schedule closer to kickoff for the latest broadcast information.
How accurate are NFL Predictions Hub's AI picks?+
Our XGBoost-based prediction model is trained on 4+ seasons of NFL play-by-play, team, and situational data. It tracks a rolling win rate against the moneyline that is published on our model transparency page. Individual picks are probabilistic — even a 75% confidence pick will miss 1 in 4 times over a long enough sample.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sun, Dec 27, 1:00 PM UTC
Network
CBS
Venue
Hard Rock Stadium