Baltimore Ravens @ Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs projected to win thanks to positive point differential over Baltimore Ravens. Model assigns a 82% confidence to this outcome.
Win Probability
Team Profile
BAL
KCKey Factors
Game Projections
Derived from each team's last 6-game scoring averages vs opponent defense
BAL
25.4
proj pts
Total O/U
43.4
pts
KC
18
proj pts
Scoring Edges
Kansas City Chiefs Offense
22.0 PPG vs Baltimore Ravens (allows 14.0)
Baltimore Ravens Offense
31.3 PPG vs Kansas City Chiefs (allows 19.5)
Projections use rolling 6-game team averages. Not financial advice.
Analytics Breakdown
Model-derived betting metrics & edge factors
Proj Spread
Ravens -5.6
Total O/U
56
Upset %
-8120%
Momentum Score
Kansas City Chiefs Edges
Home field advantage
Familiar game-day environment
Baltimore Ravens Edges
Dynamic scoring attack (+9.3 PPG edge)
Suffocating defense (14.0 pts allowed)
Strong point differential (+17.3)
Our model favors Baltimore Ravens by 5.6 points against the spread despite playing on the road.
Head-to-Head History
No recent matchup data available.
Injury Report
Latest injury designations from ESPN
No significant injuries reported
Team & Player Breakdown
Baltimore Ravens
Head Coach
John Harbaugh
Starting QB
Lamar Jackson
RPO-heavy run-pass option attack built around Jackson's dual-threat ability
aggressive, press-coverage defense with elite safety play
Kansas City Chiefs
Head Coach
Andy Reid
Starting QB
Patrick Mahomes
dynamic, play-action heavy passing offense with elite pre-snap motion
multiple-front defense built around speed and disguise
Key Players
A two-time MVP whose rushing ability makes every Ravens drive a potential explosive play. Jackson's combination of arm talent and running ability forces defenses to account for him on every snap, opening the field for his receivers.
The reigning standard-bearer at the position. Mahomes' combination of arm talent, mobility, and football IQ makes him nearly impossible to game-plan against consistently. Look for him to exploit single coverage and generate explosive plays in the second half.
Flowers' speed and explosiveness after the catch complement Jackson's style perfectly. He creates mismatches in space and has become one of the AFC's most dangerous slot receivers when healthy.
Kelce remains the most reliable tight end in football in critical moments. His route running in the middle of the field and red-zone presence gives Mahomes a safety valve that defenses cannot fully eliminate.
Related Predictions
All picks@
Baltimore Ravens @ Miami Dolphins
Week 10 · CBS
@
Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos
Week 10 · CBS
@Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens
Week 10 · ABC/ESPN
@
Kansas City Chiefs @ Buffalo Bills
Week 9 · NBC
@Los Angeles Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs
Week 9 · CBS
@Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens
Week 8 · CBS
Baltimore Ravens vs Kansas City Chiefs — Frequently Asked Questions
Who is predicted to win the Baltimore Ravens vs Kansas City Chiefs Week 13 game?+
Our AI prediction model picks the Kansas City Chiefs to win the Baltimore Ravens vs Kansas City Chiefs Week 13 2026 matchup with 82% confidence. The model gives the Kansas City Chiefs a 82% win probability and the Baltimore Ravens a 18% win probability.
When and where is the Baltimore Ravens vs Kansas City Chiefs game?+
The Baltimore Ravens face the Kansas City Chiefs on Thursday, November 26, 2026 at 8:00 PM UTC, hosted at GEHA Field at Arrowhead. The game airs on NBC.
What is the confidence level on this NFL Week 13 prediction?+
Our machine-learning model rates this pick at 82% confidence, based on 4+ seasons of team performance data, offensive/defensive splits, recent form, home/road splits, and pace-adjusted efficiency. Higher confidence generally means the model sees a wider gap between the two teams.
What TV network is broadcasting the Baltimore Ravens at Kansas City Chiefs game?+
The Baltimore Ravens at Kansas City Chiefs Week 13 game is scheduled to air on NBC. Check your local listings or the NFL Predictions Hub schedule closer to kickoff for the latest broadcast information.
How accurate are NFL Predictions Hub's AI picks?+
Our XGBoost-based prediction model is trained on 4+ seasons of NFL play-by-play, team, and situational data. It tracks a rolling win rate against the moneyline that is published on our model transparency page. Individual picks are probabilistic — even a 75% confidence pick will miss 1 in 4 times over a long enough sample.
Game Information
Kickoff
Thu, Nov 26, 8:00 PM UTC
Network
NBC
Venue
GEHA Field at Arrowhead