Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts
Winner
Tennessee Titans
26
Indianapolis Colts
20
Prediction vs Actual
Model Called
Indianapolis Colts
72% confidence
Actual Winner
Tennessee Titans
26–20
Pre-game Win Probability
Indianapolis Colts projected to win thanks to superior scoring offense over Tennessee Titans. Model assigns a 72% confidence to this outcome.
Win Probability
Team Profile
TENINDKey Factors
Game Projections
Derived from each team's last 6-game scoring averages vs opponent defense
TEN
23.8
proj pts
Total O/U
49.7
pts
IND
25.9
proj pts
Scoring Edges
Indianapolis Colts Offense
23.5 PPG vs Tennessee Titans (allows 28.3)
Tennessee Titans Offense
18.2 PPG vs Indianapolis Colts (allows 29.5)
Projections use rolling 6-game team averages. Not financial advice.
Analytics Breakdown
Model-derived betting metrics & edge factors
Proj Spread
Colts -9.2
Total O/U
43.8
Upset %
-7070%
Momentum Score
Indianapolis Colts Edges
Home field advantage
Superior scoring offense (+5.3 PPG)
Better win percentage (50% vs 0%)
Tennessee Titans Edges
Motivated road performance
Proven consistency in tough environments
Our model favors Indianapolis Colts by 9.2 points — look for value on the home side covering.
Head-to-Head History
Last 1 meetings (regular season + playoffs)
TEN
0
wins
Avg Score
20–26
per game
IND
1
wins
Indianapolis Colts leads 1-0
Recent Meetings
Injury Report
Latest injury designations from ESPN
No significant injuries reported
Team & Player Breakdown
Tennessee Titans
Head Coach
Brian Callahan
Starting QB
Will Levis
developing system built around Levis's arm strength and physical mobility
disciplined, zone-coverage scheme that limits explosive plays
Indianapolis Colts
Head Coach
Shane Steichen
Starting QB
Anthony Richardson
dynamic, dual-threat system built around Richardson's exceptional physical tools
assignment-sound, zone-heavy scheme designed to limit explosive plays
Key Players
Levis's arm strength and willingness to attack downfield give Tennessee an explosive element in the passing game.
Richardson's physical tools are extraordinary — his combination of arm strength and speed makes him a genuine dual-threat weapon.
Pollard's combination of speed and receiving ability out of the backfield makes him a genuine offensive weapon.
Taylor remains one of the best pure runners in the AFC. His ability to create yards after contact and break tackles in the open field gives Indianapolis an explosive element.
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Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts — Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts Week 5 2026 game?+
The Tennessee Titans won 26–20 over the Indianapolis Colts in Week 5 of the 2026 NFL season.
Did the NFL Predictions Hub AI model call the Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts game correctly?+
Our model predicted the Indianapolis Colts to win with 72% confidence, but the Tennessee Titans pulled off the win. Missed pick — one of the reasons Week 5 produced fireworks.
What TV network is broadcasting the Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts game?+
The Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts Week 5 game is scheduled to air on CBS. Check your local listings or the NFL Predictions Hub schedule closer to kickoff for the latest broadcast information.
How accurate are NFL Predictions Hub's AI picks?+
Our XGBoost-based prediction model is trained on 4+ seasons of NFL play-by-play, team, and situational data. It tracks a rolling win rate against the moneyline that is published on our model transparency page. Individual picks are probabilistic — even a 75% confidence pick will miss 1 in 4 times over a long enough sample.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM UTC
Network
CBS
Venue
Lucas Oil Stadium