New York Giants @ Detroit Lions
Detroit Lions projected to win thanks to superior scoring offense over New York Giants. Model assigns a 95% confidence to this outcome.
Win Probability
Team Profile
NYG
DETKey Factors
Game Projections
Derived from each team's last 6-game scoring averages vs opponent defense
NYG
24.5
proj pts
Total O/U
55.8
pts
DET
31.3
proj pts
Scoring Edges
Detroit Lions Offense
35.3 PPG vs New York Giants (allows 27.2)
New York Giants Offense
18.3 PPG vs Detroit Lions (allows 30.7)
Projections use rolling 6-game team averages. Not financial advice.
Analytics Breakdown
Model-derived betting metrics & edge factors
Proj Spread
Lions -16.2
Total O/U
56.3
Upset %
-9360%
Momentum Score
Detroit Lions Edges
Home field advantage
Superior scoring offense (+17.0 PPG)
Better win percentage (67% vs 17%)
New York Giants Edges
Suffocating defense (27.2 pts allowed)
Motivated road performance
Proven consistency in tough environments
Our model favors Detroit Lions by 16.2 points — look for value on the home side covering.
Head-to-Head History
No recent matchup data available.
Injury Report
Latest injury designations from ESPN
No significant injuries reported
Team & Player Breakdown
New York Giants
Head Coach
Brian Daboll
Starting QB
Daniel Jones
run-first, physical attack designed to control the clock and protect the quarterback
multiple-front defense built around creating sacks and disrupting timing
Detroit Lions
Head Coach
Dan Campbell
Starting QB
Jared Goff
physical, run-first attack that creates explosive passing opportunities off play-action
aggressive, assignment-sound defense that prioritizes stopping the run
Key Players
Jones' mobility and competitive drive give New York a quarterback capable of manufacturing plays outside of structure.
Goff has evolved into one of the NFL's most accurate quarterbacks within Campbell's system. His ability to process quickly and deliver in rhythm makes the Lions' play-action passing game consistently explosive.
Slayton's speed and ability to create vertical opportunities make him the Giants' most dangerous downfield threat.
St. Brown's ability to consistently create separation in the slot and convert on third downs has made him Goff's most reliable option. He leads the team in contested catch situations.
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New York Giants vs Detroit Lions — Frequently Asked Questions
Who is predicted to win the New York Giants vs Detroit Lions Week 12 game?+
Our AI prediction model picks the Detroit Lions to win the New York Giants vs Detroit Lions Week 12 2026 matchup with 95% confidence. The model gives the Detroit Lions a 95% win probability and the New York Giants a 5% win probability.
When and where is the New York Giants vs Detroit Lions game?+
The New York Giants face the Detroit Lions on Sunday, November 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM UTC, hosted at Ford Field. The game airs on FOX.
What is the confidence level on this NFL Week 12 prediction?+
Our machine-learning model rates this pick at 95% confidence, based on 4+ seasons of team performance data, offensive/defensive splits, recent form, home/road splits, and pace-adjusted efficiency. Higher confidence generally means the model sees a wider gap between the two teams.
What TV network is broadcasting the New York Giants at Detroit Lions game?+
The New York Giants at Detroit Lions Week 12 game is scheduled to air on FOX. Check your local listings or the NFL Predictions Hub schedule closer to kickoff for the latest broadcast information.
How accurate are NFL Predictions Hub's AI picks?+
Our XGBoost-based prediction model is trained on 4+ seasons of NFL play-by-play, team, and situational data. It tracks a rolling win rate against the moneyline that is published on our model transparency page. Individual picks are probabilistic — even a 75% confidence pick will miss 1 in 4 times over a long enough sample.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sun, Nov 22, 4:00 PM UTC
Network
FOX
Venue
Ford Field