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WEEK 11
CBSAI Prediction

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Tennessee Titans

ML Prediction
71% confidence
JAXTEN
71%29%

Jacksonville Jaguars projected to win thanks to stronger defensive efficiency over Tennessee Titans. Model assigns a 71% confidence to this outcome.

Win Probability

71%JAX wins
JAX 71%
TEN 29%

Team Profile

Jacksonville JaguarsJAX
Tennessee TitansTEN

Key Factors

JAXStatTEN
18.7
PPG (Off)JAX +0.5
18.2
19.8
PA/G (Def)JAX +8.5
28.3
-1.2
Point DiffJAX +9.0
-10.2
33%
Win RateJAX +33%
0%
6g
Games (Form)
6g
XGBoost · 300 trees · rolling 6-game windowModel accuracy: 61.8%

Game Projections

Derived from each team's last 6-game scoring averages vs opponent defense

JAX

23.5

proj pts

Total O/U

42.5

pts

TEN

19

proj pts

Projected SpreadJAX -4.5

Scoring Edges

Tennessee Titans Offense

18.2 PPG vs Jacksonville Jaguars (allows 19.8)

-1.7 pts/g

Jacksonville Jaguars Offense

18.7 PPG vs Tennessee Titans (allows 28.3)

-9.7 pts/g

Projections use rolling 6-game team averages. Not financial advice.

Analytics Breakdown

Model-derived betting metrics & edge factors

Proj Spread

Jaguars -4.3

Total O/U

38.7

Upset %

-2840%

Momentum Score

Jacksonville Jaguars38
Tennessee Titans18

Tennessee Titans Edges

Home field advantage

Familiar game-day environment

Jacksonville Jaguars Edges

Road warrior mentality (33% win rate)

Suffocating defense (19.8 pts allowed)

Our model favors Jacksonville Jaguars by 4.3 points against the spread despite playing on the road.

Head-to-Head History

No recent matchup data available.

Injury Report

Latest injury designations from ESPN

No significant injuries reported

Team & Player Breakdown

Jacksonville JaguarsTennessee Titans
18.7Points Per Game18.2
19.8Points Allowed28.3
33%Win Rate0%

Jacksonville Jaguars

Head Coach

Doug Pederson

Starting QB

Trevor Lawrence

creative, spread-formation attack built around Lawrence's arm talent and receiver depth

multiple-coverage scheme that leverages their cornerback depth

Strength: Lawrence's playmaking ability that keeps Jacksonville competitive in any game
Weakness: consistency through the regular season and avoiding self-inflicted turnovers

Tennessee Titans

Head Coach

Brian Callahan

Starting QB

Will Levis

developing system built around Levis's arm strength and physical mobility

disciplined, zone-coverage scheme that limits explosive plays

Strength: young talent on both sides of the ball that creates long-term optimism
Weakness: offensive consistency and execution in situational football

Key Players

Trevor LawrenceQB

Lawrence's arm talent and competitive drive make him one of the AFC's most dangerous quarterbacks when the Jaguars are executing.

Will LevisQB

Levis's arm strength and willingness to attack downfield give Tennessee an explosive element in the passing game.

Calvin RidleyWR

Ridley's route running precision and ability to create separation against press coverage give Lawrence a reliable deep option.

Tony PollardRB

Pollard's combination of speed and receiving ability out of the backfield makes him a genuine offensive weapon.

Related Predictions

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Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans — Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win the Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans Week 11 game?+

Our AI prediction model picks the Jacksonville Jaguars to win the Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans Week 11 2026 matchup with 71% confidence. The model gives the Tennessee Titans a 29% win probability and the Jacksonville Jaguars a 71% win probability.

When and where is the Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans game?+

The Jacksonville Jaguars face the Tennessee Titans on Sunday, November 15, 2026 at 1:00 PM UTC, hosted at Nissan Stadium. The game airs on CBS.

What is the confidence level on this NFL Week 11 prediction?+

Our machine-learning model rates this pick at 71% confidence, based on 4+ seasons of team performance data, offensive/defensive splits, recent form, home/road splits, and pace-adjusted efficiency. Higher confidence generally means the model sees a wider gap between the two teams.

What TV network is broadcasting the Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans game?+

The Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans Week 11 game is scheduled to air on CBS. Check your local listings or the NFL Predictions Hub schedule closer to kickoff for the latest broadcast information.

How accurate are NFL Predictions Hub's AI picks?+

Our XGBoost-based prediction model is trained on 4+ seasons of NFL play-by-play, team, and situational data. It tracks a rolling win rate against the moneyline that is published on our model transparency page. Individual picks are probabilistic — even a 75% confidence pick will miss 1 in 4 times over a long enough sample.

Game Information

Kickoff

Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM UTC

Network

CBS

Venue

Nissan Stadium