Jacksonville Jaguars @ Houston Texans
Houston Texans projected to win thanks to better recent win rate over Jacksonville Jaguars. Model assigns a 66% confidence to this outcome.
Win Probability
Team Profile
JAX
HOUKey Factors
Game Projections
Derived from each team's last 6-game scoring averages vs opponent defense
JAX
19.3
proj pts
Total O/U
38.4
pts
HOU
19.1
proj pts
Scoring Edges
Houston Texans Offense
18.3 PPG vs Jacksonville Jaguars (allows 19.8)
Jacksonville Jaguars Offense
18.7 PPG vs Houston Texans (allows 19.8)
Projections use rolling 6-game team averages. Not financial advice.
Analytics Breakdown
Model-derived betting metrics & edge factors
Proj Spread
Texans -1.8
Total O/U
38.9
Upset %
-6460%
Momentum Score
Houston Texans Edges
Home field advantage
Better win percentage (50% vs 33%)
Familiar game-day environment
Jacksonville Jaguars Edges
Motivated road performance
Proven consistency in tough environments
This matchup projects as a near pick'em — expect a tight game decided in the fourth quarter.
Head-to-Head History
No recent matchup data available.
Injury Report
Latest injury designations from ESPN
No significant injuries reported
Team & Player Breakdown
Jacksonville Jaguars
Head Coach
Doug Pederson
Starting QB
Trevor Lawrence
creative, spread-formation attack built around Lawrence's arm talent and receiver depth
multiple-coverage scheme that leverages their cornerback depth
Houston Texans
Head Coach
DeMeco Ryans
Starting QB
C.J. Stroud
precise, quick-rhythm passing attack built around Stroud's processing and Nico Collins' explosiveness
aggressive, multiple-pressure scheme that creates chaos in opposing backfields
Key Players
Lawrence's arm talent and competitive drive make him one of the AFC's most dangerous quarterbacks when the Jaguars are executing.
Stroud's football IQ is exceptional. His ability to process pre-snap information and deliver on time makes Houston's offense efficient on every down.
Ridley's route running precision and ability to create separation against press coverage give Lawrence a reliable deep option.
Collins' combination of size and speed makes him Stroud's most dangerous downfield target. His ability to beat single coverage vertically gives Houston an explosive element.
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Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans — Frequently Asked Questions
Who is predicted to win the Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans Week 10 game?+
Our AI prediction model picks the Houston Texans to win the Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans Week 10 2026 matchup with 66% confidence. The model gives the Houston Texans a 66% win probability and the Jacksonville Jaguars a 34% win probability.
When and where is the Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans game?+
The Jacksonville Jaguars face the Houston Texans on Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 1:00 PM UTC, hosted at NRG Stadium. The game airs on CBS.
What is the confidence level on this NFL Week 10 prediction?+
Our machine-learning model rates this pick at 66% confidence, based on 4+ seasons of team performance data, offensive/defensive splits, recent form, home/road splits, and pace-adjusted efficiency. Higher confidence generally means the model sees a wider gap between the two teams.
What TV network is broadcasting the Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans game?+
The Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans Week 10 game is scheduled to air on CBS. Check your local listings or the NFL Predictions Hub schedule closer to kickoff for the latest broadcast information.
How accurate are NFL Predictions Hub's AI picks?+
Our XGBoost-based prediction model is trained on 4+ seasons of NFL play-by-play, team, and situational data. It tracks a rolling win rate against the moneyline that is published on our model transparency page. Individual picks are probabilistic — even a 75% confidence pick will miss 1 in 4 times over a long enough sample.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM UTC
Network
CBS
Venue
NRG Stadium