Indianapolis Colts @ Cleveland Browns
Cleveland Browns projected to win thanks to positive point differential over Indianapolis Colts. Model assigns a 55% confidence to this outcome.
Win Probability
Team Profile
Key Factors
Game Projections
Derived from each team's last 6-game scoring averages vs opponent defense
IND
25.8
proj pts
Total O/U
46.6
pts
CLE
20.8
proj pts
Scoring Edges
Cleveland Browns Offense
12.0 PPG vs Indianapolis Colts (allows 29.5)
Indianapolis Colts Offense
23.5 PPG vs Cleveland Browns (allows 28.0)
Projections use rolling 6-game team averages. Not financial advice.
Analytics Breakdown
Model-derived betting metrics & edge factors
Proj Spread
Colts -12.9
Total O/U
37.3
Upset %
-5390%
Momentum Score
Cleveland Browns Edges
Home field advantage
Familiar game-day environment
Indianapolis Colts Edges
Road warrior mentality (50% win rate)
Dynamic scoring attack (+11.5 PPG edge)
Our model favors Indianapolis Colts by 12.9 points against the spread despite playing on the road.
Head-to-Head History
No recent matchup data available.
Injury Report
Latest injury designations from ESPN
No significant injuries reported
Team & Player Breakdown
Indianapolis Colts
Head Coach
Shane Steichen
Starting QB
Anthony Richardson
dynamic, dual-threat system built around Richardson's exceptional physical tools
assignment-sound, zone-heavy scheme designed to limit explosive plays
Cleveland Browns
Head Coach
Kevin Stefanski
Starting QB
Deshaun Watson
run-first, physical attack designed to control possession and limit risk
aggressive, Myles Garrett-anchored defense that disrupts in the backfield
Key Players
Richardson's physical tools are extraordinary — his combination of arm strength and speed makes him a genuine dual-threat weapon.
Garrett is one of the best defensive players in professional football. His ability to generate pressure on every snap forces offensive coordinators to dedicate extra blockers.
Taylor remains one of the best pure runners in the AFC. His ability to create yards after contact and break tackles in the open field gives Indianapolis an explosive element.
Cooper's route precision and ability to win against press coverage give Cleveland a reliable downfield option that can move the chains on third down.
Related Predictions
All picksIndianapolis Colts vs Cleveland Browns — Frequently Asked Questions
Who is predicted to win the Indianapolis Colts vs Cleveland Browns Week 9 game?+
Our AI prediction model picks the Cleveland Browns to win the Indianapolis Colts vs Cleveland Browns Week 9 2026 matchup with 55% confidence. The model gives the Cleveland Browns a 55% win probability and the Indianapolis Colts a 45% win probability.
When and where is the Indianapolis Colts vs Cleveland Browns game?+
The Indianapolis Colts face the Cleveland Browns on Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 1:00 PM UTC, hosted at Huntington Bank Field. The game airs on CBS.
What is the confidence level on this NFL Week 9 prediction?+
Our machine-learning model rates this pick at 55% confidence, based on 4+ seasons of team performance data, offensive/defensive splits, recent form, home/road splits, and pace-adjusted efficiency. Higher confidence generally means the model sees a wider gap between the two teams.
What TV network is broadcasting the Indianapolis Colts at Cleveland Browns game?+
The Indianapolis Colts at Cleveland Browns Week 9 game is scheduled to air on CBS. Check your local listings or the NFL Predictions Hub schedule closer to kickoff for the latest broadcast information.
How accurate are NFL Predictions Hub's AI picks?+
Our XGBoost-based prediction model is trained on 4+ seasons of NFL play-by-play, team, and situational data. It tracks a rolling win rate against the moneyline that is published on our model transparency page. Individual picks are probabilistic — even a 75% confidence pick will miss 1 in 4 times over a long enough sample.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM UTC
Network
CBS
Venue
Huntington Bank Field