Cleveland Browns @ Las Vegas Raiders
Cleveland Browns projected to win thanks to positive point differential over Las Vegas Raiders. Model assigns a 58% confidence to this outcome.
Win Probability
Team Profile
CLE
LVKey Factors
Game Projections
Derived from each team's last 6-game scoring averages vs opponent defense
CLE
16
proj pts
Total O/U
38.6
pts
LV
22.6
proj pts
Scoring Edges
Las Vegas Raiders Offense
17.2 PPG vs Cleveland Browns (allows 28.0)
Cleveland Browns Offense
12.0 PPG vs Las Vegas Raiders (allows 20.0)
Projections use rolling 6-game team averages. Not financial advice.
Analytics Breakdown
Model-derived betting metrics & edge factors
Proj Spread
Raiders -7.1
Total O/U
30.6
Upset %
-4080%
Momentum Score
Las Vegas Raiders Edges
Home field advantage
Superior scoring offense (+5.2 PPG)
Stronger pass defense (allows 20.0 vs 28.0)
Better win percentage (33% vs 0%)
Cleveland Browns Edges
Motivated road performance
Proven consistency in tough environments
Our model favors Las Vegas Raiders by 7.1 points — look for value on the home side covering.
Head-to-Head History
No recent matchup data available.
Injury Report
Latest injury designations from ESPN
No significant injuries reported
Team & Player Breakdown
Cleveland Browns
Head Coach
Kevin Stefanski
Starting QB
Deshaun Watson
run-first, physical attack designed to control possession and limit risk
aggressive, Myles Garrett-anchored defense that disrupts in the backfield
Las Vegas Raiders
Head Coach
Antonio Pierce
Starting QB
Gardner Minshew
efficient, game-management system built around protecting the football
aggressive, pressure-based defense designed to create short fields for the offense
Key Players
Garrett is one of the best defensive players in professional football. His ability to generate pressure on every snap forces offensive coordinators to dedicate extra blockers.
Minshew's football IQ and ability to protect the ball give Las Vegas a functional offensive floor. He's at his best when the Raiders can establish the run.
Cooper's route precision and ability to win against press coverage give Cleveland a reliable downfield option that can move the chains on third down.
Adams' route running precision is elite. His ability to create separation against any coverage makes him the Raiders' most reliable offensive weapon.
Related Predictions
All picks
@Los Angeles Chargers @ Las Vegas Raiders
Week 1 · NBC
@Las Vegas Raiders @ Cleveland Browns
Week 2 · CBS
@Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland Browns
Week 3 · CBS
@Las Vegas Raiders @ Los Angeles Chargers
Week 3 · CBS
@
Arizona Cardinals @ Carolina Panthers
Week 1 · TBD
@
Kansas City Chiefs @ Baltimore Ravens
Week 1 · NBC
Cleveland Browns vs Las Vegas Raiders — Frequently Asked Questions
Who is predicted to win the Cleveland Browns vs Las Vegas Raiders Week 1 game?+
Our AI prediction model picks the Cleveland Browns to win the Cleveland Browns vs Las Vegas Raiders Week 1 2026 matchup with 58% confidence. The model gives the Las Vegas Raiders a 42% win probability and the Cleveland Browns a 58% win probability.
When and where is the Cleveland Browns vs Las Vegas Raiders game?+
The Cleveland Browns face the Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday, September 6, 2026 at 4:00 PM UTC, hosted at Allegiant Stadium. The game airs on CBS.
What is the confidence level on this NFL Week 1 prediction?+
Our machine-learning model rates this pick at 58% confidence, based on 4+ seasons of team performance data, offensive/defensive splits, recent form, home/road splits, and pace-adjusted efficiency. Higher confidence generally means the model sees a wider gap between the two teams.
What TV network is broadcasting the Cleveland Browns at Las Vegas Raiders game?+
The Cleveland Browns at Las Vegas Raiders Week 1 game is scheduled to air on CBS. Check your local listings or the NFL Predictions Hub schedule closer to kickoff for the latest broadcast information.
How accurate are NFL Predictions Hub's AI picks?+
Our XGBoost-based prediction model is trained on 4+ seasons of NFL play-by-play, team, and situational data. It tracks a rolling win rate against the moneyline that is published on our model transparency page. Individual picks are probabilistic — even a 75% confidence pick will miss 1 in 4 times over a long enough sample.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sun, Sep 6, 4:00 PM UTC
Network
CBS
Venue
Allegiant Stadium