Super Bowl LXI Predictions: Odds, Favorites, and Dark Horse Picks

Super Bowl LXI is set for February 14, 2027 at SoFi Stadium — and the 2026 championship board is one of the tightest in years. Ten teams sit at +2500 or shorter, and the market's top four teams (Rams, Lions, Ravens, Bills) are within 150 points on the moneyline.

Our AI-powered championship probability model has the leaders separated by fewer than three percentage points. Here's who to back, who to fade, and where the biggest value lives.

Top 8 Super Bowl LXI Contenders

Rank	Team	Conf	Odds
1	Los Angeles Rams	NFC	+700
2	Detroit Lions	NFC	+750
3	Baltimore Ravens	AFC	+800
4	Buffalo Bills	AFC	+850
5	Kansas City Chiefs	AFC	+900
6	Philadelphia Eagles	NFC	+1000
7	San Francisco 49ers	NFC	+1200
8	Cincinnati Bengals	AFC	+1600

See our full live Super Bowl LXI tracker with 12 tracked teams, hourly odds refresh, and complete AFC/NFC breakdowns.

Why the Rams Are Our #1 Super Bowl LXI Pick

The Rams enter 2026 with the most complete roster in the NFC: an elite pass rush anchored by Jared Verse and Braden Fiske, a restored WR corps with Kupp and Puka Nacua both healthy, and a defensive backfield rebuilt with veteran additions. Their divisional schedule is the softest in the NFC West thanks to Arizona and Seattle both projecting as sub-.500 teams — that's a huge edge over the 12-week grind.

The AFC Favorite: Baltimore Ravens

Lamar Jackson has already won two MVPs. He leads an offense with Zay Flowers, Rashod Bateman, and Derrick Henry — and a defense that finished 2025 top-5 in DVOA. The Ravens' path through the AFC still runs through Buffalo and Kansas City, but on paper they have the deepest roster.

The Best Super Bowl Value Bet: Chargers at +2500

Jim Harbaugh's second year has historically produced huge results — his second seasons at Stanford, Michigan, and San Francisco all featured double-digit-win jumps. The Chargers open Week 1 as the only double-digit favorite on the board (LAC -10.5 vs Arizona), which is the market telling us this team is real.

Dark Horse: Washington Commanders at +3000

The Commanders were the surprise story of 2025. Jayden Daniels + Kliff Kingsbury's offense finished top-5 in EPA per play, and the defense added key pieces. If the schedule breaks softly, Washington is a legitimate NFC finalist.

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Super Bowl LXI?

The Los Angeles Rams (+700) and Detroit Lions (+750) are co-favorites.

When is Super Bowl LXI played?

Super Bowl LXI is scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027, at SoFi Stadium.

Which team is the best Super Bowl value pick?

The Los Angeles Chargers (+2500) and Washington Commanders (+3000) offer the best value.

Related: NFL MVP odds tracker, 2026 NFL awards predictions, and full NFL power rankings.