Super Bowl LXI Odds & Predictions
Live AI-powered Super Bowl 61 tracker. Weekly odds refresh, championship probability model, and full contender analysis for both the AFC and NFC as the 2026 NFL season unfolds.
#1 · NFC
Los Angeles Rams
+700 · 14.3% AI prob
The NFC's most complete roster: elite pass rush, Kupp-McVay chemistry restored, and the softest divisional schedule in the conference.
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#2 · NFC
Detroit Lions
+750 · 13.3% AI prob
Dan Campbell's offense keeps posting top-3 EPA/play. Health of the O-line is the only real bear case.
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#3 · AFC
Baltimore Ravens
+800 · 12.5% AI prob
Two-time MVP Lamar Jackson, top-5 defense, and the deepest AFC roster on paper.
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#4 · AFC
Buffalo Bills
+850 · 11.8% AI prob
Reigning MVP Allen and a defense that finally caught up. Their playoff bracket path is the concern.
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#5 · AFC
Kansas City Chiefs
+900 · 11.1% AI prob
Dynasty odds are always short. Mahomes health + WR corps rebuild are the big open questions.
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#6 · NFC
Philadelphia Eagles
+1000 · 10.0% AI prob
Saquon Barkley + a real deep-threat WR2 keeps Philly among NFC's top three.
View Eagles hubSuper Bowl LXI Frequently Asked Questions
Who is the current Super Bowl LXI favorite?+
The Los Angeles Rams and Detroit Lions are co-favorites in the NFC at roughly +700 to +750, with the Baltimore Ravens and Buffalo Bills leading the AFC. Our AI probability model has the top four teams within a few percentage points of each other — this is one of the most wide-open championship boards in years.
When is Super Bowl LXI (Super Bowl 61)?+
Super Bowl LXI is scheduled for February 14, 2027, at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California. It caps the 2026 NFL season.
Which team is the best Super Bowl value bet?+
At their current price, the Los Angeles Chargers (+2500) and Washington Commanders (+3000) offer the strongest value. Both are on the upswing with strong second-year QB systems and manageable divisional schedules.
How does your Super Bowl probability model work?+
The model blends live sportsbook implied championship probability with a projection layer that weighs each team's projected win total, strength of schedule, roster health, and quarterback efficiency. Weekly reruns keep the numbers fresh throughout the season.
Has any team won back-to-back Super Bowls recently?+
The Kansas City Chiefs completed a back-to-back championship in 2023, becoming the first team since the 2003-04 Patriots. Our model applies a small dynasty premium — but never treats a repeat as a base case.