Tampa Bay Lightning @ Utah Mammoth

Sunday, October 25, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 70% confidence

Tampa Bay Lightning39%

Utah Mammoth61%

Model Prediction

Utah Mammoth

Confidence

70%

Team StrengthEVEN

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

UTA: 50/100UTA rated 70/100 vs TB rated 70/100TB: 50/100

Offensive PowerEVEN

Average Points per Game scored this season

wt 25%

UTA: 90/100UTA: 1.5 | TB: 1.5TB: 90/100

Defensive StrengthEVEN

Average Points Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

UTA: 50/100UTA: 1.5 | TB: 1.5TB: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

UTA: 60/100UTA home win rate: 55%TB: 40/100

Current FormAWAY EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

UTA: 46/100Form index — UTA: 67 | TB: 73TB: 54/100

Date

Sun, October 25, 2026

Network

ESPN+