Tampa Bay Lightning @ Colorado Avalanche

Saturday, October 24, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 82% confidence

Tampa Bay Lightning32%

Colorado Avalanche68%

Model Prediction

Colorado Avalanche

Confidence

82%

Team StrengthHOME EDGE

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

COL: 68/100COL rated 92/100 vs TB rated 70/100TB: 32/100

Offensive PowerHOME EDGE

Average Points per Game scored this season

wt 25%

COL: 90/100COL: 3.5 | TB: 1.5TB: 43/100

Defensive StrengthAWAY EDGE

Average Points Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

COL: 50/100COL: 2.7 | TB: 1.5TB: 90/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

COL: 60/100COL home win rate: 67%TB: 40/100

Current FormHOME EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

COL: 64/100Form index — COL: 90 | TB: 70TB: 36/100

Date

Sat, October 24, 2026

Network

ESPN+