New York Rangers @ Toronto Maple Leafs

Thursday, October 22, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 66% confidence

New York Rangers41%

Toronto Maple Leafs59%

Model Prediction

Toronto Maple Leafs

Confidence

66%

Team StrengthEVEN

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

TOR: 48/100TOR rated 83/100 vs NYR rated 86/100NYR: 52/100

Offensive PowerEVEN

Average Points per Game scored this season

wt 25%

TOR: 90/100TOR: 3.3 | NYR: 3.2NYR: 90/100

Defensive StrengthAWAY EDGE

Average Points Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

TOR: 50/100TOR: 3.1 | NYR: 2.8NYR: 60/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

TOR: 55/100TOR home win rate: 59%NYR: 45/100

Current FormAWAY EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

TOR: 36/100Form index — TOR: 71 | NYR: 91NYR: 64/100

Date

Thu, October 22, 2026

Network

ESPN+