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NHL
FINAL
ESPNAI Prediction

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Vegas Golden Knights

Wednesday, October 21, 2026Final

Win Probability

AI Model · 77% confidence
Tampa Bay Lightning35%
Vegas Golden Knights65%

Model Prediction

Vegas Golden Knights

Confidence

77%

Prediction Analysis

Team StrengthHOME EDGE

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%
VGK: 62/100VGK rated 85/100 vs TB rated 70/100TB: 38/100
Offensive PowerHOME EDGE

Average Points per Game scored this season

wt 25%
VGK: 90/100VGK: 3.2 | TB: 1.5TB: 47/100
Defensive StrengthAWAY EDGE

Average Points Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%
VGK: 50/100VGK: 2.9 | TB: 1.5TB: 90/100
Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%
VGK: 61/100VGK home win rate: 62%TB: 39/100
Current FormAWAY EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%
VGK: 46/100Form index — VGK: 75 | TB: 81TB: 54/100

Final Score

Tampa Bay Lightning6AWAY

VS

FINAL

Vegas Golden Knights2HOME

Game Recap

AI Analysis

The Tampa Bay Lightning delivered a dominant performance, defeating the Vegas Golden Knights 6-2 by a 4-goals margin. Top performers on the night included Unknown (), Unknown (). The Tampa Bay Lightning capitalized on key moments throughout the game to seal the result, while the Vegas Golden Knights will regroup ahead of their next fixture.

Statistical Leaders

Unknown

Unknown