Toledo Rockets @ Arkansas State Red Wolves

Monday, November 2, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 72% confidence

Toledo Rockets38%

Arkansas State Red Wolves62%

Model Prediction

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Confidence

72%

Team StrengthEVEN

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

ARST: 50/100ARST rated 70/100 vs TOL rated 70/100TOL: 50/100

Offensive PowerEVEN

Average Points per Game scored this season

wt 25%

ARST: 90/100ARST: 1.5 | TOL: 1.5TOL: 90/100

Defensive StrengthEVEN

Average Points Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

ARST: 50/100ARST: 1.5 | TOL: 1.5TOL: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

ARST: 62/100ARST home win rate: 55%TOL: 38/100

Current FormEVEN

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

ARST: 50/100Form index — ARST: 62 | TOL: 62TOL: 50/100

Date

Mon, November 2, 2026

Network

TBD