Minnesota Timberwolves @ Miami Heat

Wednesday, October 21, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 75% confidence

Minnesota Timberwolves36%

Miami Heat64%

Model Prediction

Miami Heat

Confidence

75%

Team StrengthEVEN

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

MIA: 52/100MIA rated 84/100 vs MIN rated 82/100MIN: 48/100

Offensive PowerAWAY EDGE

Average Points per Game scored this season

wt 25%

MIA: 90/100MIA: 111.2 | MIN: 112.8MIN: 90/100

Defensive StrengthEVEN

Average Points Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

MIA: 50/100MIA: 111.5 | MIN: 111.4MIN: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

MIA: 64/100MIA home win rate: 62%MIN: 36/100

Current FormHOME EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

MIA: 62/100Form index — MIA: 88 | MIN: 71MIN: 38/100

Date

Wed, October 21, 2026

Network

ESPN