Minnesota United FC @ San Jose Earthquakes

Sunday, August 23, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 64% confidence

Minnesota United FC28%

Draw26%

San Jose Earthquakes46%

Model Prediction

San Jose Earthquakes

Confidence

64%

Team StrengthAWAY EDGE

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

SJ: 44/100SJ rated 62/100 vs MIN rated 70/100MIN: 56/100

Offensive PowerAWAY EDGE

Average Goals per Match scored this season

wt 25%

SJ: 79/100SJ: 1.1 | MIN: 1.4MIN: 90/100

Defensive StrengthAWAY EDGE

Average Goals Conceded/Match allowed this season

wt 20%

SJ: 50/100SJ: 1.8 | MIN: 1.6MIN: 61/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

SJ: 57/100SJ home win rate: 44%MIN: 43/100

Current FormAWAY EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

SJ: 42/100Form index — SJ: 55 | MIN: 67MIN: 58/100

Date

Sun, August 23, 2026

Network

Apple TV