New York City FC @ FC Cincinnati

Wednesday, August 19, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 70% confidence

New York City FC25%

Draw25%

FC Cincinnati50%

Model Prediction

FC Cincinnati

Confidence

70%

Team StrengthEVEN

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

CIN: 47/100CIN rated 70/100 vs NYC rated 74/100NYC: 53/100

Offensive PowerEVEN

Average Goals per Match scored this season

wt 25%

CIN: 90/100CIN: 1.5 | NYC: 1.6NYC: 90/100

Defensive StrengthEVEN

Average Goals Conceded/Match allowed this season

wt 20%

CIN: 50/100CIN: 1.5 | NYC: 1.5NYC: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

CIN: 61/100CIN home win rate: 55%NYC: 39/100

Current FormAWAY EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

CIN: 42/100Form index — CIN: 59 | NYC: 70NYC: 58/100

Date

Wed, August 19, 2026

Network

Apple TV