Philadelphia Union @ New York City FC

Sunday, August 16, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 72% confidence

Philadelphia Union24%

Draw25%

New York City FC51%

Model Prediction

New York City FC

Confidence

72%

Team StrengthEVEN

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

NYC: 47/100NYC rated 74/100 vs PHI rated 78/100PHI: 53/100

Offensive PowerEVEN

Average Goals per Match scored this season

wt 25%

NYC: 90/100NYC: 1.6 | PHI: 1.6PHI: 90/100

Defensive StrengthAWAY EDGE

Average Goals Conceded/Match allowed this season

wt 20%

NYC: 50/100NYC: 1.5 | PHI: 1.3PHI: 63/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

NYC: 58/100NYC home win rate: 55%PHI: 42/100

Current FormHOME EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

NYC: 61/100Form index — NYC: 84 | PHI: 68PHI: 39/100

Date

Sun, August 16, 2026

Network

Apple TV