Atlanta United FC @ Philadelphia Union

Saturday, August 1, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 75% confidence

Atlanta United FC22%

Draw25%

Philadelphia Union53%

Model Prediction

Philadelphia Union

Confidence

75%

Team StrengthEVEN

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

PHI: 52/100PHI rated 78/100 vs ATL rated 76/100ATL: 48/100

Offensive PowerEVEN

Average Goals per Match scored this season

wt 25%

PHI: 90/100PHI: 1.6 | ATL: 1.6ATL: 90/100

Defensive StrengthEVEN

Average Goals Conceded/Match allowed this season

wt 20%

PHI: 57/100PHI: 1.3 | ATL: 1.4ATL: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

PHI: 59/100PHI home win rate: 59%ATL: 41/100

Current FormHOME EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

PHI: 57/100Form index — PHI: 83 | ATL: 72ATL: 43/100

Date

Sat, August 1, 2026

Network

Apple TV