Toronto FC @ New York City FC

Friday, July 31, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 74% confidence

Toronto FC23%

Draw24%

New York City FC53%

Model Prediction

New York City FC

Confidence

74%

Team StrengthEVEN

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

NYC: 53/100NYC rated 74/100 vs TOR rated 70/100TOR: 47/100

Offensive PowerEVEN

Average Goals per Match scored this season

wt 25%

NYC: 90/100NYC: 1.6 | TOR: 1.5TOR: 90/100

Defensive StrengthEVEN

Average Goals Conceded/Match allowed this season

wt 20%

NYC: 50/100NYC: 1.5 | TOR: 1.5TOR: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

NYC: 59/100NYC home win rate: 55%TOR: 41/100

Current FormHOME EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

NYC: 56/100Form index — NYC: 66 | TOR: 58TOR: 44/100

Date

Fri, July 31, 2026

Network

Apple TV