Chicago Fire FC @ New York City FC

Saturday, July 25, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 77% confidence

Chicago Fire FC21%

Draw24%

New York City FC55%

Model Prediction

New York City FC

Confidence

77%

Team StrengthHOME EDGE

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

NYC: 57/100NYC rated 74/100 vs CHI rated 65/100CHI: 43/100

Offensive PowerHOME EDGE

Average Goals per Match scored this season

wt 25%

NYC: 90/100NYC: 1.6 | CHI: 1.2CHI: 75/100

Defensive StrengthHOME EDGE

Average Goals Conceded/Match allowed this season

wt 20%

NYC: 62/100NYC: 1.5 | CHI: 1.7CHI: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

NYC: 56/100NYC home win rate: 55%CHI: 44/100

Current FormEVEN

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

NYC: 53/100Form index — NYC: 68 | CHI: 63CHI: 47/100

Date

Sat, July 25, 2026

Network

Apple TV