New York City FC @ Columbus Crew

Wednesday, July 22, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 70% confidence

New York City FC25%

Draw25%

Columbus Crew50%

Model Prediction

Columbus Crew

Confidence

70%

Team StrengthEVEN

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

CLB: 47/100CLB rated 70/100 vs NYC rated 74/100NYC: 53/100

Offensive PowerEVEN

Average Goals per Match scored this season

wt 25%

CLB: 90/100CLB: 1.5 | NYC: 1.6NYC: 90/100

Defensive StrengthEVEN

Average Goals Conceded/Match allowed this season

wt 20%

CLB: 50/100CLB: 1.5 | NYC: 1.5NYC: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

CLB: 61/100CLB home win rate: 55%NYC: 39/100

Current FormAWAY EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

CLB: 42/100Form index — CLB: 59 | NYC: 70NYC: 58/100

Date

Wed, July 22, 2026

Network

Apple TV