Red Bull New York @ Philadelphia Union

Wednesday, July 22, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 77% confidence

Red Bull New York21%

Draw24%

Philadelphia Union55%

Model Prediction

Philadelphia Union

Confidence

77%

Team StrengthHOME EDGE

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

PHI: 54/100PHI rated 78/100 vs RBNY rated 73/100RBNY: 46/100

Offensive PowerEVEN

Average Goals per Match scored this season

wt 25%

PHI: 90/100PHI: 1.6 | RBNY: 1.5RBNY: 90/100

Defensive StrengthHOME EDGE

Average Goals Conceded/Match allowed this season

wt 20%

PHI: 63/100PHI: 1.3 | RBNY: 1.5RBNY: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

PHI: 59/100PHI home win rate: 59%RBNY: 41/100

Current FormHOME EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

PHI: 58/100Form index — PHI: 75 | RBNY: 63RBNY: 42/100

Date

Wed, July 22, 2026

Network

Apple TV