Arizona Diamondbacks @ St. Louis Cardinals

Thursday, July 23, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 70% confidence

Arizona Diamondbacks39%

St. Louis Cardinals61%

Model Prediction

St. Louis Cardinals

Confidence

70%

Team StrengthEVEN

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

STL: 49/100STL rated 78/100 vs ARI rated 79/100ARI: 51/100

Offensive PowerAWAY EDGE

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

STL: 90/100STL: 4.2 | ARI: 4.4ARI: 90/100

Defensive StrengthHOME EDGE

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

STL: 55/100STL: 4.0 | ARI: 4.2ARI: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

STL: 53/100STL home win rate: 55%ARI: 47/100

Current FormAWAY EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

STL: 43/100Form index — STL: 66 | ARI: 75ARI: 57/100

Date

Thu, July 23, 2026

Network

MLB.TV