St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds

Monday, August 17, 2026Bot 2nd

Win Probability

AI Model · 55% confidence

St. Louis Cardinals47%

Cincinnati Reds53%

Model Prediction

Cincinnati Reds

Confidence

55%

Team StrengthAWAY EDGE

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

CIN: 44/100CIN rated 70/100 vs STL rated 78/100STL: 56/100

Offensive PowerAWAY EDGE

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

CIN: 36/100CIN: 1.5 | STL: 4.2STL: 90/100

Defensive StrengthHOME EDGE

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

CIN: 90/100CIN: 1.5 | STL: 4.0STL: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

CIN: 54/100CIN home win rate: 55%STL: 46/100

Current FormEVEN

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

CIN: 52/100Form index — CIN: 80 | STL: 76STL: 48/100

St. Louis Cardinals2AWAY

Bot 2nd

Cincinnati Reds0HOME