Arizona Diamondbacks @ Houston Astros

Saturday, September 5, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 84% confidence

Arizona Diamondbacks31%

Houston Astros69%

Model Prediction

Houston Astros

Confidence

84%

Team StrengthHOME EDGE

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

HOU: 59/100HOU rated 90/100 vs ARI rated 79/100ARI: 41/100

Offensive PowerHOME EDGE

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

HOU: 90/100HOU: 4.8 | ARI: 4.4ARI: 90/100

Defensive StrengthHOME EDGE

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

HOU: 64/100HOU: 3.6 | ARI: 4.2ARI: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

HOU: 58/100HOU home win rate: 63%ARI: 42/100

Current FormHOME EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

HOU: 71/100Form index — HOU: 100 | ARI: 70ARI: 29/100

Date

Sat, September 5, 2026

Network

MLB.TV