Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles

Saturday, September 5, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 73% confidence

Boston Red Sox37%

Baltimore Orioles63%

Model Prediction

Baltimore Orioles

Confidence

73%

Team StrengthEVEN

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

BAL: 52/100BAL rated 85/100 vs BOS rated 83/100BOS: 48/100

Offensive PowerEVEN

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

BAL: 90/100BAL: 4.8 | BOS: 4.7BOS: 90/100

Defensive StrengthHOME EDGE

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

BAL: 55/100BAL: 4.0 | BOS: 4.2BOS: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

BAL: 59/100BAL home win rate: 60%BOS: 41/100

Current FormEVEN

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

BAL: 50/100Form index — BAL: 89 | BOS: 89BOS: 50/100

Date

Sat, September 5, 2026

Network

MLB.TV