Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies

Saturday, September 5, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 66% confidence

Atlanta Braves41%

Philadelphia Phillies59%

Model Prediction

Philadelphia Phillies

Confidence

66%

Team StrengthAWAY EDGE

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

PHI: 45/100PHI rated 83/100 vs ATL rated 89/100ATL: 55/100

Offensive PowerAWAY EDGE

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

PHI: 90/100PHI: 4.7 | ATL: 5.0ATL: 90/100

Defensive StrengthAWAY EDGE

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

PHI: 50/100PHI: 4.1 | ATL: 3.8ATL: 57/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

PHI: 55/100PHI home win rate: 58%ATL: 45/100

Current FormEVEN

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

PHI: 47/100Form index — PHI: 81 | ATL: 85ATL: 53/100

Date

Sat, September 5, 2026

Network

MLB.TV