New York Yankees @ San Diego Padres

Saturday, September 5, 2026End 3rd

Win Probability

AI Model · 66% confidence

New York Yankees41%

San Diego Padres59%

Model Prediction

San Diego Padres

Confidence

66%

Team StrengthAWAY EDGE

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

SD: 45/100SD rated 82/100 vs NYY rated 88/100NYY: 55/100

Offensive PowerAWAY EDGE

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

SD: 88/100SD: 4.3 | NYY: 4.9NYY: 90/100

Defensive StrengthEVEN

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

SD: 50/100SD: 3.9 | NYY: 3.9NYY: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

SD: 56/100SD home win rate: 57%NYY: 44/100

Current FormEVEN

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

SD: 47/100Form index — SD: 87 | NYY: 92NYY: 53/100

New York Yankees1AWAY

End 3rd

San Diego Padres1HOME