Athletics @ Seattle Mariners

Saturday, September 5, 2026Mid 2nd

Win Probability

AI Model · 73% confidence

Athletics37%

Seattle Mariners63%

Model Prediction

Seattle Mariners

Confidence

73%

Team StrengthHOME EDGE

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

SEA: 57/100SEA rated 79/100 vs ATH rated 70/100ATH: 43/100

Offensive PowerHOME EDGE

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

SEA: 90/100SEA: 4.0 | ATH: 1.5ATH: 38/100

Defensive StrengthAWAY EDGE

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

SEA: 50/100SEA: 3.8 | ATH: 1.5ATH: 90/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

SEA: 53/100SEA home win rate: 56%ATH: 47/100

Current FormEVEN

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

SEA: 50/100Form index — SEA: 67 | ATH: 66ATH: 50/100

Athletics0AWAY

Mid 2nd

Seattle Mariners0HOME