San Francisco Giants @ New York Mets

Friday, September 4, 2026Final

Win Probability

AI Model · 73% confidence

San Francisco Giants37%

New York Mets63%

Model Prediction

New York Mets

Confidence

73%

Prediction Analysis

Team StrengthEVEN

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

NYM: 52/100NYM rated 80/100 vs SF rated 77/100SF: 48/100

Offensive PowerEVEN

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

NYM: 90/100NYM: 4.2 | SF: 4.1SF: 90/100

Defensive StrengthHOME EDGE

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

NYM: 55/100NYM: 4.0 | SF: 4.2SF: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

NYM: 53/100NYM home win rate: 55%SF: 47/100

Current FormHOME EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

NYM: 58/100Form index — NYM: 80 | SF: 69SF: 42/100

Final Score

San Francisco Giants6AWAY

FINAL

New York Mets10HOME

Game Recap

AI Analysis

The New York Mets delivered a dominant performance, defeating the San Francisco Giants 10-6 by a 4-runs margin. The New York Mets executed their game plan effectively to secure this convincing victory.