New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles

Wednesday, August 19, 2026Top 8th

Win Probability

AI Model · 68% confidence

New York Yankees40%

Baltimore Orioles60%

Model Prediction

Baltimore Orioles

Confidence

68%

Team StrengthEVEN

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

BAL: 48/100BAL rated 85/100 vs NYY rated 88/100NYY: 52/100

Offensive PowerEVEN

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

BAL: 90/100BAL: 4.8 | NYY: 4.9NYY: 90/100

Defensive StrengthEVEN

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

BAL: 50/100BAL: 4.0 | NYY: 3.9NYY: 53/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

BAL: 58/100BAL home win rate: 60%NYY: 42/100

Current FormEVEN

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

BAL: 47/100Form index — BAL: 75 | NYY: 79NYY: 53/100

New York Yankees3AWAY

Top 8th

Baltimore Orioles3HOME