Miami Marlins @ Philadelphia Phillies

Wednesday, August 19, 2026Final

Win Probability

AI Model · 77% confidence

Miami Marlins35%

Philadelphia Phillies65%

Model Prediction

Philadelphia Phillies

Confidence

77%

Prediction Analysis

Team StrengthHOME EDGE

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

PHI: 60/100PHI rated 83/100 vs MIA rated 70/100MIA: 40/100

Offensive PowerHOME EDGE

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

PHI: 90/100PHI: 4.7 | MIA: 1.5MIA: 32/100

Defensive StrengthAWAY EDGE

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

PHI: 50/100PHI: 4.1 | MIA: 1.5MIA: 90/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

PHI: 56/100PHI home win rate: 58%MIA: 44/100

Current FormHOME EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

PHI: 55/100Form index — PHI: 80 | MIA: 73MIA: 45/100

Final Score

Miami Marlins1AWAY

FINAL

Philadelphia Phillies4HOME

Game Recap

AI Analysis

The Philadelphia Phillies delivered a dominant performance, defeating the Miami Marlins 4-1 by a 3-runs margin. The Philadelphia Phillies executed their game plan effectively to secure this convincing victory.