Toronto Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay Rays

Tuesday, August 18, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 73% confidence

Toronto Blue Jays37%

Tampa Bay Rays63%

Model Prediction

Tampa Bay Rays

Confidence

73%

Team StrengthEVEN

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

TB: 52/100TB rated 84/100 vs TOR rated 81/100TOR: 48/100

Offensive PowerAWAY EDGE

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

TB: 89/100TB: 4.1 | TOR: 4.6TOR: 90/100

Defensive StrengthHOME EDGE

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

TB: 62/100TB: 3.6 | TOR: 4.1TOR: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

TB: 56/100TB home win rate: 58%TOR: 44/100

Current FormEVEN

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

TB: 47/100Form index — TB: 85 | TOR: 89TOR: 53/100

Date

Tue, August 18, 2026

Network

MLB.TV