Detroit Tigers @ Pittsburgh Pirates

Monday, August 17, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 70% confidence

Detroit Tigers39%

Pittsburgh Pirates61%

Model Prediction

Pittsburgh Pirates

Confidence

70%

Team StrengthEVEN

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

PIT: 50/100PIT rated 70/100 vs DET rated 70/100DET: 50/100

Offensive PowerEVEN

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

PIT: 90/100PIT: 1.5 | DET: 1.5DET: 90/100

Defensive StrengthEVEN

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

PIT: 50/100PIT: 1.5 | DET: 1.5DET: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

PIT: 58/100PIT home win rate: 55%DET: 42/100

Current FormEVEN

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

PIT: 52/100Form index — PIT: 68 | DET: 65DET: 48/100

Date

Mon, August 17, 2026

Network

ESPN