Arizona Diamondbacks @ Boston Red Sox

Monday, August 17, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 73% confidence

Arizona Diamondbacks37%

Boston Red Sox63%

Model Prediction

Boston Red Sox

Confidence

73%

Team StrengthEVEN

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

BOS: 53/100BOS rated 83/100 vs ARI rated 79/100ARI: 47/100

Offensive PowerHOME EDGE

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

BOS: 90/100BOS: 4.7 | ARI: 4.4ARI: 90/100

Defensive StrengthEVEN

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

BOS: 50/100BOS: 4.2 | ARI: 4.2ARI: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

BOS: 59/100BOS home win rate: 58%ARI: 41/100

Current FormHOME EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

BOS: 57/100Form index — BOS: 94 | ARI: 83ARI: 43/100

Date

Mon, August 17, 2026

Network

MLB.TV