Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays

Sunday, August 16, 2026Mid 8th

Win Probability

AI Model · 70% confidence

Baltimore Orioles39%

Tampa Bay Rays61%

Model Prediction

Tampa Bay Rays

Confidence

70%

Team StrengthEVEN

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

TB: 49/100TB rated 84/100 vs BAL rated 85/100BAL: 51/100

Offensive PowerAWAY EDGE

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

TB: 85/100TB: 4.1 | BAL: 4.8BAL: 90/100

Defensive StrengthHOME EDGE

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

TB: 60/100TB: 3.6 | BAL: 4.0BAL: 50/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

TB: 57/100TB home win rate: 58%BAL: 43/100

Current FormAWAY EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

TB: 40/100Form index — TB: 77 | BAL: 91BAL: 60/100

Baltimore Orioles10AWAY

Mid 8th

Tampa Bay Rays2HOME