St. Louis Cardinals @ Chicago Cubs

Saturday, August 15, 2026Bot 5th

Win Probability

AI Model · 70% confidence

St. Louis Cardinals39%

Chicago Cubs61%

Model Prediction

Chicago Cubs

Confidence

70%

Team StrengthEVEN

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

CHC: 48/100CHC rated 76/100 vs STL rated 78/100STL: 52/100

Offensive PowerEVEN

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

CHC: 90/100CHC: 4.3 | STL: 4.2STL: 90/100

Defensive StrengthAWAY EDGE

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

CHC: 50/100CHC: 4.4 | STL: 4.0STL: 59/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

CHC: 54/100CHC home win rate: 54%STL: 46/100

Current FormHOME EDGE

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

CHC: 57/100Form index — CHC: 86 | STL: 76STL: 43/100

St. Louis Cardinals4AWAY

Bot 5th

Chicago Cubs3HOME