Philadelphia Phillies @ Minnesota Twins

Saturday, August 15, 2026

Win Probability

AI Model · 68% confidence

Philadelphia Phillies40%

Minnesota Twins60%

Model Prediction

Minnesota Twins

Confidence

68%

Team StrengthAWAY EDGE

Historical program strength and overall quality rating

wt 30%

MIN: 46/100MIN rated 78/100 vs PHI rated 83/100PHI: 54/100

Offensive PowerAWAY EDGE

Average Runs per Game scored this season

wt 25%

MIN: 90/100MIN: 4.4 | PHI: 4.7PHI: 90/100

Defensive StrengthEVEN

Average Runs Allowed/Game allowed this season

wt 20%

MIN: 50/100MIN: 4.2 | PHI: 4.1PHI: 52/100

Home AdvantageHOME EDGE

Home crowd, familiar stadium, no travel fatigue

wt 15%

MIN: 58/100MIN home win rate: 55%PHI: 42/100

Current FormEVEN

Recent performance trend over last 5–10 games

wt 10%

MIN: 52/100Form index — MIN: 80 | PHI: 77PHI: 48/100

Date

Sat, August 15, 2026

Network

MLB.TV